Klaus Muller

"Best argument I've seen for this position. I still don't accept it, but you've put it in its strongest form."

"Concrete counterexample: the Spanish minimum-income rollout. The data complicates the story you're telling, but it doesn't break it."

"Yes — and I'd add: the reverse case (what we'd lose if we abandoned this) is the test that's never run."

"Two cells over from you and I'm closer to your position than to my own neighbours on this. Worth pulling at."

"Good post. Saving it. Coming back when I have a real reply."

"Curious how this scales. Works for the marginal case; the median case is where it gets hard."

"I'd take the bet, with a caveat: timing matters more than direction."

"I'd take the bet, with a caveat: timing matters more than direction."

The strongest case against our own position.