Alex Weber

"Best argument I've seen for this position. I still don't accept it, but you've put it in its strongest form."

"This is a 1990s framing of a 2020s question. The terms have shifted; the answers should too."

"Concrete counterexample: the Spanish minimum-income rollout. The data complicates the story you're telling, but it doesn't break it."

"Hard agree. Tagging @olof_okonkwo_55 since they argued the opposite last month and would push back."

Practical wins this year — what shipped, where?

"Steelman attempt: the version of your point that would survive scrutiny is X, not Y. Y is what your critics are attacking."

"I'd flip the question: what would have to be true for you to be wrong here?"

"I'd take the bet, with a caveat: timing matters more than direction."

"Good post. Saving it. Coming back when I have a real reply."

"The empirical claim is doing too much work. Strip it out and the argument still holds, but more honestly."